Introduction
Tropical Storm Jerry has formed in the Atlantic and is now being closely monitored by meteorologists and the National Hurricane Center (NHC). As the 10th named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, Jerry is intensifying and expected to reach hurricane strength later this week. While it currently remains over open waters, its approach toward the Leeward Islands forces affected communities to stay alert.
Current Status & Formation
- Jerry originated from a disturbance previously categorized as Invest 95L in the tropical Atlantic. (WFTV)
- The NHC has officially upgraded it to Tropical Storm Jerry, with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph (≈ 55 knots). (WESH)
- The storm is moving west-northwest at ~18 mph. (AP News)
- Jerry may intensify further to hurricane strength by later this week. (FOX Weather)
Because the system is still gaining structure, forecast models are being closely watched for any changes. (WFTV)
Forecast Path & Projected Track
Path & Movement
- Jerry is forecast to continue on a west-northwest trajectory before gradually curving northward later in the week. (The Weather Channel)
- The storm is expected to pass near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands by Thursday into early Friday. (CBS News)
- After brushing the Leeward Islands, Jerry is likely to steer further into the open Atlantic, far from the U.S. mainland. (The Washington Post)
- Some forecast models suggest it might approach Bermuda later in the weekend, though uncertainty remains. (Houston Chronicle)
Intensity Forecast
- Jerry is expected to strengthen into a Category 1 hurricane (sustained winds ≥ 74 mph) later in the week. (FOX Weather)
- Some earlier forecasts hinted at possible further intensification, but more recent updates lean toward Jerry remaining a Category 1 system. (FOX Weather)
- After reaching peak intensity, it is likely to gradually weaken as it moves into cooler waters. (The Weather Channel)
Potential Impacts & Warnings
Affected Areas
- Northern Leeward Islands are under tropical storm watches as of now. (CBS News)
- Rainfall of 2–4 inches is expected in parts of the Leeward Islands, raising risks of flash flooding, especially in hilly or mountainous terrain. (CBS News)
- Even if Jerry’s core passes north, strong winds, dangerous surf, rip currents, and rough seas may affect adjacent islands and coastal zones. (FOX Weather)
- For the U.S. East Coast, direct landfall is not expected, but coastal regions should monitor swells and surf generated by Jerry or any interacting systems. (The Washington Post)
Secondary Weather System Interaction
- A separate coastal storm is forecast to develop near the U.S. East Coast this weekend. That system could influence Jerry’s track and bring its own rain, wind, and wave effects to states from the Carolinas to New England. (The Washington Post)
- In simpler terms: the coastal storm may “steer” Jerry further offshore, reducing the threat to land. (The Washington Post)
Safety Tips & Preparedness
If you’re in an area under watch or likely to be affected, here are some precautions:
- Stay informed — follow updates from the NHC, local meteorological agencies, and trusted news outlets.
- Secure outdoor items and property — strong winds and wave action can dislodge unsecured objects.
- Beware of flooding — in low-lying or steep terrain areas, flash flooding can occur rapidly with heavy rains.
- Avoid coastal waters — swells and rip currents may become hazardous for swimmers and small vessels.
- Have emergency kits ready — with water, food, batteries, first-aid, and communications gear.
- Plan for power outages — charge devices in advance and keep backup power supplies if possible.
Even if the worst scenarios don’t materialize, being prepared is always wise.
